AllianceDAO co-founder: Considering the probabilities of "boom" and "doom," Anthropic's target valuation should be halved.

PANews October 15 news: AllianceDAO co-founder QwQiao posted on the X platform, speaking in a playful manner about the valuation issue of Anthropic's IPO. He reminded investors that when calculating Anthropic's expected value, they should not forget to factor in both the probabilities of "prosperity" and "doom."

His reasoning is: if AI leads humanity to infinite abundance, money will no longer matter; if AI wipes out all of humanity, money will likewise lose its meaning. He set the combined probability of these two scenarios at 50%. The remaining 50% is the "boring middle state"—humans keep going to work, and keep going forever. And sadly, it is only in this scenario that money still matters.

Therefore, QwQiao joked that all of Anthropic's target prices must be cut in half.